Laura Bronner and Perry Bacon Jr.
– Feb 26, 2:55 AM
Sen. Bernie Sanders's coalition isn't that big, at least not right now — he won about a quarter of Democratic primary voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, plus about a third of the first-alignment vote in Nevada, and about a quarter to a third…
– Feb 25, 11:50 AM
Finally, we're asking respondents to estimate each Democrat's chances of defeating President Trump — from 0 percent to 100 percent. And for the second time in our polling with Ipsos, it is Sanders and not Biden who leads on this question.
FiveThirtyEight's model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate. The chart shows how many delegates, on average, each candidate is projected to have pledged to them at each point in the…